Those of you who’ve been following along on the Facebook page know that I’ve finally jumped into the Daily Fantasy Sports fray this season and recently took home a first place finish on a Monday Night Showdown.
Since announcing that unexpected cash-in, fellow DFS enthusiasts have been hitting my message inbox with questions and thoughts of their own. Therefore, I’ve decided to start using my website again to share some of crowd-sourced advice in the hopes that it may benefit some of the Knox Sports News followes.
Before going into the Sunday slate, I should note that the information below is geared primarily towards Draft Kings full-PPR scoring and pricing system. However, I will add some Fan Duel prices, ownership percentages and projected fantasy points inside these articles.
Vikings at Jets:
High winds are expected in the Vikings at Jets game this Sunday which could have a negative impact on deep passes and the kicking game. This could suppress the expected outputs of both Kirk Cousins and Stefon Diggs this weekend but slot receiver Adam Thielen and TE, Kyle Rudolph should remain in play. Rudolph is only sitting at $3900 on Draft Kings and is prjected to only be owned by 2.5% of sharp fantasy players which makes him a nice pivot now that the winds are scaring players off of Diggs. Rudolph is only expected to garner 1% ownership on Fan Duel at a $6K salary.
Thielen, who averages about 8.8 yards per target out of the slot should still be in play but take note of his salary this week as it’s up there on both Draft Kings-$8500 and Fan Duel-$8700.
On the Jets side of the field, Jermaine Kearse should continue to see plenty of targets. Fellow WR, Robby Anderson most likely has Xavier Rhodes on his hip all day and at $k on Draft Kings, Kearse’s 10 targets from last week is tough to ignore. He makes a greta salary saver this Sunday.
Highest Vegas Team Totals:
Falcons – 29
Bucs – 27
Ravens – 26
Patriots – 26
Lowest Vegas Team Totals:
Baker Mayfield and Jarvis Landry— The Buvs have the worst pass defense in the NFL and we’ve already seen a young QB like Mitch Trubisky throw for 6 TDs against their defense. Mayfield has a solid chance at snagging 25-30 fantasy points this week. His top target Jarvis Landry will see coverage from slot corner, M.J Stewart. Stewart has allowed catches on 25 of 28 targets leading to 304 yards and 5 TDs.
You can certainly add a 3rd layer to this stack with David Njoku but I would advise mixing in an opposite team player by using a Bucs receiver. My preference here would be DeSean Jackson over Mike Evans partly because I find Jackson’s $5800 Draft Kings salary more appealing than Evans’ $7700 after seeing Jameis Winston spread the love around to 9 different receivers last week. I also prefer Jackson’s match-up against Cleveland’s TJ Carrie over Evans match-up against Denzel Ward despite Evans’ 6-inch height advantage over Ward.
Favorite Salary Relief:
Willie Snead IV– Whether you love the revenge angle of playing versus his former team or the fact that he’s matched up against Saints CB, P.J. Williams, Snead is a solid salary saving pass catcher this week. Williams has allowed a QB rating north of 120, Michael Crabtree is most likely getting a Marshon Lattimore blanket and John Brown is more of a field stretcher than a possession receiver. At $4K on Draft Kings, he’s tough to pass up.
Marlon Mack— While the bulk of the DFS world jumped all over the Nick Chubb promotion in Cleveland’s backfield, I’m going the contrarian route here with Marlon Mack. I will certainly have some Chubb exposure in my a few roster entries but I like Mack here.
The Bills have the 2nd best Pass Defense according to Football Outsiders DVOA ratings and we’ve seen it stifle opposing passing attacks. Couple that with the possibility the Bills anemic offense turns the ball over on their own side of the field and I think Mack has a chance for 15-18 rushes with a chance at vulturing a TD after a turnover. Mack comes in at a $48oo price tag on Draft Kings and should remain under 10% ownership in tourneys.
Tarik Cohen— Cohen will be catches passes out of the backfield against a one-ply-thin Patriots LB corps with an increasingly slow Dont’a Hightower in coverage from time to time. We all saw how poorly this worked out for the Patriots against Kareem Hunt last weekend so we shouldn’t be shocked to see former Andy Reid student, Matt Nagy use Cohen in a similar fashion this weekend. Cohen comes in at $5100 on Draft Kings this week but should see more ownership, especially if you’re in a New England based tourney pool where everybody is well aware of the Pats struggles against pass-catching RBs.
Best of luck to everybody this weekend. Hope you win some duckets. I’ll try to get a little more in-depth next week.